Oil Just Posted Its BIGGEST Build in 3.5 Years — And Prices Went UP | Aug 13 Market Recap
The biggest U.S. crude build in three and a half years just hit the tape — 17.4 million barrels in one week — and oil went UP anyway. That's not a demand collapse. That's a shipping problem, and the mainstream headline number completely misses it.
WHAT'S INSIDE TODAY'S RECAP:
U.S. crude inventories +17.4 million barrels — the street expected a drawdown
American crude exports fell to their lowest level since the war with Iran began
Imports surged while exports stalled — barrels piled up because they physically couldn't leave
The Strait of Hormuz is still effectively closed
The IEA sees a global shortfall of roughly 1.8 million barrels per day this quarter
Maersk raised guidance a second time this year on the Hormuz blockade — stock up about 7%
WTI near $81.60 this morning, down about 2%, snapping a five-day run on reopening-deal chatter
July inflation cooled to 3.4%, but energy is still up nearly 15% year over year
September HIKE odds near 42% — read that again
S&P 500 closed at 7,748 on AI earnings, but Cerebras is down roughly 17% pre-market
Next catalyst: wholesale inflation, 8:30 AM Eastern
The disconnect between inventory data and price action is the entire story today. Storage tanks filling up doesn't mean the world has enough oil — it means the oil can't get where it needs to go.
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