Rate-hike odds climbed to 66%, the 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level since January 2025, and oil pushed near $92 on renewed Hormuz supply fears. But gold fell 1.2% — and that's the move worth decoding. When bullion drops into a rising oil tape, the market isn't pricing more inflation. It's pricing more Fed. Here's the mechanism behind the repricing, why a Strategic Petroleum Reserve at a 44-year low widens the risk, and the specific thing Friday's jobs report actually decides.

Friday's session split Big Tech wide open: Amazon gained roughly 15% on its fastest AWS growth in 18 quarters, while Apple erased about $475 billion in market value on soft September guidance. Behind it all, the 30-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.25% — the highest since 2007 — as futures began pricing a possible September rate hike. Here's the full breakdown of the rotation, from record Kospi gains to record-low Bitcoin fund inflows.