Weekend attacks on Saudi Arabia should have sent oil higher. Instead, West Texas Intermediate crude fell below one hundred dollars a barrel. Traders are betting on recovering Saudi supply and possible diplomacy between the United States and Iran.

Saudi crude exports have bounced back to just over four million barrels a day this month, up from roughly two point four million in August. That matters because oil above one hundred dollars had been fueling inflation fears and expectations for higher interest rates. US stock futures moved higher on the shift.

The next test: does this week's United Nations diplomacy deliver real de-escalation, and can WTI hold below one hundred dollars?

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