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Elon Musk has all but confirmed it: a SpaceX IPO is likely coming in 2026. With private shares already trading near implied valuations of eight hundred billion dollars, the public offering could target a staggering one point five trillion dollars. But is a five hundred dollar share price realistic, or is this a speculative bubble waiting to pop?

In this video, we break down the math behind the hype. We analyze the two massive pillars supporting this valuation: Starlink’s recurring revenue engine and the revolutionary potential of Starship. We explore the "Bull Case" for a skyrocketing stock price and the "Bear Case" regarding execution risks and market volatility.

In this video, we cover:

SpaceX IPO date predictions for 2026

Current private market valuation vs. public targets

Starlink revenue analysis for 2025 and beyond

The impact of Starship on future industries

Price targets: Can it really hit five hundred dollars a share?

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Quick disclaimer: I’m not a licensed financial advisor. This is for educational purposes only and not financial or investment advice. Crypto is volatile, never invest more than you can afford to lose, do your own research.

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