Nvidia in Talks to Buy Reflection AI: Why a $25 Billion Model Bet Is Really About Selling Chips
Nvidia has already put about $800 million into Reflection AI. Now it is reportedly in talks to buy the open-weight startup outright, or hire its team and license its technology instead. Either way, this is less about Nvidia becoming a model company and more about making sure the next generation of open AI runs on Nvidia chips. The structure of the deal will tell you which risk Nvidia fears most, and an answer could come within weeks.
AI Is Now Carrying Wall Street's Profit Growth, and a 5% Treasury Yield Is Testing How Much It Can Hold
Stocks are near record highs with the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, and one source of profit explains it. AI is expected to supply roughly two-thirds of the S&P 500's 30% earnings growth this quarter, with semiconductor profits projected up 136%. That support comes with a higher bar, and the first real test lands Thursday when Taiwan Semiconductor reports.
SpaceX Wants $40 Billion to Buy Nvidia Chips: Why the AI Boom Is Becoming a Financing Boom
SpaceX just pulled off the largest IPO in history, and it is already asking lenders for another $40 billion to buy Nvidia chips. The chips aren't the story. The borrowing is. When an entire build-out shifts from cash flow to credit, the price lenders charge starts setting the pace, and the first real test of that price arrives with this deal.
Dow Falls 1,100 Points as 3 Fed Dissenters Push the 30-Year Yield to 2007 Highs
Three Fed dissenters, a 30-year Treasury yield at its highest since 2007, and a 19% monthly drawdown in semiconductors dragged the Dow down 2.19% — its worst day since April 2025. Microsoft surged, Meta sank, oil jumped 7.9% on Iran escalation, and crypto punished leverage on a flat tape. Here's the full decode, plus what today's PCE and GDP prints could trigger.