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SpaceX Raises $40B in Debt for AI Chips: The AI Credit Shift

SpaceX just borrowed $40 billion to buy AI chips, and Elon Musk says it could only do it because of Starlink and launch revenue. Lenders are now separating diversified AI players from data-center-only companies, and that split could reshape the entire AI trade. Here's what it means, and what to watch when Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon report this week.

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SpaceX Now Makes More Money From AI Than From Rockets and Starlink Combined

SpaceX’s AI business just outearned its rockets and Starlink combined, bringing in $7.6 billion of a $14.6 billion quarter. But the AI buildout is costing almost $20 billion a quarter, and Elon Musk has now put a Tesla-SpaceX merger on the table. Here’s what the numbers really say, three scenarios for what comes next, and why Tesla’s earnings tonight could be the next big signal.

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CoreWeave’s Bonds Are Flashing AI’s Newest Warning, and It Isn’t About Chips

AI demand is still strong, so why is CoreWeave’s debt trading like a distress signal? One bond’s yield topped 16%, default-insurance costs hit records, and hot producer prices just made borrowing harder. The real question now is whether this stays a CoreWeave problem or spreads across every leveraged AI builder.

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ASML Can't Build Machines Fast Enough: The AI Chip Boom Just Hit a Supply Wall

ASML just posted a record €11.7 billion quarter, but the real headline is what it said about the future: even with 30% more capacity planned, it can't build enough chipmaking machines to meet demand in 2027 and 2028. Customers are already asking about 2030. Here's why the AI trade's bottleneck is shifting from money to machines, and what to watch as TSMC reports next.

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Nvidia's $150 Billion Buyback Just Made History: Why the Pace of Spending Matters More Than the Headline

Nvidia just approved the biggest buyback increase ever — $150 billion on top of its existing program, for a total of $235 billion. But a buyback authorization is permission, not spending. To use it all by fiscal 2028, Nvidia would have to roughly double its record repurchase pace. Here's the math, the 3 scenarios, and the numbers that will decide whether this is a real capital-return machine or just a very large permission slip.

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Nvidia's $280 Billion Earnings Test: Why the AI Trade Now Runs Through the Bond Market

Nvidia reports Wednesday after the close with roughly $280 billion of market value in play — more than the individual market cap of 90% of S&P 500 companies. But the implied 5.4% move is smaller than Nvidia's recent average, and the stock just posted its seventh straight down day. The real variable isn't in the income statement. It's the 30-year Treasury yield sitting above 5% at a 19-year high, quietly repricing every data-center project the AI trade depends on.

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Nvidia Server Prices Are Reportedly Rising More Than 15% — And the Stock Hasn't Traded on It Yet

Bloomberg reported Saturday that some of Nvidia's largest customers were told server prices will rise more than 15%, driven by soaring memory-chip costs. Nvidia hasn't confirmed it, and the stock hasn't traded on it yet. The real story isn't the price increase — it's that the AI bottleneck is moving from compute to memory, and the bottleneck always owns the margin.

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