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Rate Hike Odds Jump to 57% as Nvidia Drops 4.6% After Warsh

Rate-hike odds jumped to roughly 57% after Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, sending Treasury yields higher as Nvidia and gold fell. Now the August jobs report could determine whether that shift in Fed expectations gains momentum or becomes more complicated.

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Market Preview: Gold at $4,400 as Fed Weighs Rate Hike

Gold is back above $4,400 an ounce while the Federal Reserve debates a rate hike — a combination that normally works against a metal paying no yield. Today's preview covers the softer dollar, the closed Strait of Hormuz, and why Wednesday's Fed minutes are the event that matters.

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Nvidia's $500B AI War Chest as Oil Surges | Aug 11, 2026

Nvidia lined up more than $500 billion from six Wall Street giants for AI data centers, and the stock fell anyway on circular financing concerns. Crude surged roughly 5% as Hormuz talks stalled, the 10-year yield topped 4.7%, and September rate hike odds moved to roughly even ahead of Wednesday's CPI.

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