10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.03% as Fed Meeting Begins
The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed back above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2007 just as the Federal Reserve begins its two-day meeting. With Brent crude still near $108 and markets heavily pricing another rate hike, the bigger question is what the Fed signals comes next.
Oil Jumps 5% as 10-Year Yield Hits 4.81% and Gold Falls
Oil surged as renewed fighting near the Strait of Hormuz pushed energy prices higher while the 10-year Treasury yield reached about 4.81%. Gold’s decline reveals the bigger market tension as investors weigh geopolitical risk against higher yields, a stronger dollar and the next test from U.S. labor data.
Rate-Hike Odds Hit 66% as Oil Hits $92 and Yields Rise
Rate-hike odds have climbed to 66% as oil trades near $92 and the 10-year Treasury yield reaches its highest level since January 2025. With gold falling and major employment reports approaching, the next question is whether labor data confirms the market’s latest repricing or challenges it.